Saturday, August 11, 2007

Insider Transactions

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BTW - This confirms the Russian Tycoon buying into GM as reported earlier this week.

Highland Capital Benefits From Shorting Subprime

As you know, we have been following the moves from Highland Capital for years. They are very smart people who know the investment business.

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Thursday, August 09, 2007

Alcoa Takeover Speculation - Target $49

Friedman, Billings, Ramsey & Co. upgraded shares in AA to outperform from market perform Thursday, saying the recent sell-off in the aluminum producer's stock price "has completely removed any takeover premium in the name and provides upside potential" even if it's not bought out. Analyst Amir Arif kept his price target at $49 and said "there is a good probability of a takeout."

Wednesday, August 08, 2007

A View Of Some Of Our Stocks

HERE IS A LOOK AT SOME OF OUR STOCKS:
Zolt Chart
BHP Chart
Hansen Chart
TIE Chart
ATI Chart
Apple Chart
America Movil Chart (MACD Turning Up)
EEM Chart (MACD Turning Up)
Alcoa Chart (Buying Now)

Shorts Take A Beating With Harold Simmon's Company Valhi - VHI and NL Industries

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Rumor has it that Harold Simmons has hired an investment bank to sell off some of his assets. The NYSE asks the company for a comment on the unusual activity. VHI says, we don't comment on stock activity. Something looks like it is in the works. Also - There has been a lot of speculation that Harold and Annette Simmons are setting up their companies up to be sold follow an unusually high degree of insider buying by the Simmon's family over the last few weeks in Titanium Metals stock. Click - To See Insider Buying

We see that Blackrock is taking a piece of VHI already. Click Here

DARPA Chief Says - Titanium Is The Next Internet

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He's right about being in the Titanium Age except for the price of Titanium.

Alcoa Back In Play

Alcoa upgraded to "buy"

Tuesday, August 07, 2007 10:24:21 AM ET
Davenport & Co.

NEW YORK, August 7 (newratings.com) - Analysts at Davenport & Company upgrade Alcoa Inc (AA.NYS) to "buy." The target price is set to $43.

In a research note published this morning, the analysts mention that there is a 50% possibility of the company receiving a takeover offer from BHP Billiton, CVRD or a private equity. Any takeout offer for Alcoa is expected to be higher than the target price, the analysts say. The upgrade in the rating is based on valuation and the company�s fundamentals, Davenport & Company adds.

Tuesday, August 07, 2007

Sources In London Say A Russian Metals Tycoon Is Looking At GM and Other US Assets

As you know, we follow the best metals companies, but Russians buying into GM? We think that more and more foreign tycoons are interested in top quality US assets. With all the insider buying going on in Titanium Metals (TIE- NYSE) we can see someone taking a strong interest in the US's #1 Titanium company as well. Analysts have a target on TIE at $41 and earnings and expansion plans seem to suggest that TIE is on the fast track to continue their 23% ROA and 38% ROE. The Rolls-Royce Trent 1000, launch engine for the Boeing 787 Dreamliner, has received its airworthiness certification on schedule as well. Click - For News

Question: Why all the insider buying here? Unlike anything that we have ever seen. Ever! What does Harold Simmons know that we don't? Is he setting his company up to go private accumulating all the float? Click - For News

TIMET Reports Second Quarter 2007 Results and Additional Titanium Melt Capacity Expansion Plans

PRNewswire
5:00 p.m. 08/07/2007


DALLAS, Aug 07, 2007 /PRNewswire-FirstCall via COMTEX/ -- Titanium Metals Corporation ("TIMET" or the "Company") (TIE) reported its net income attributable to common stockholders increased 41% to $76.3 million, or $0.42 per diluted share, for the quarter ended June 30, 2007, compared to $54.3 million, or $0.31 per diluted share, for the quarter ended June 30, 2006.
The Company's net sales increased 13% from $300.9 million during the second quarter of 2006 to $341.2 million during the second quarter of 2007 due primarily to increases in average selling prices and favorable changes in product mix. Overall industry fundamentals and outlook continue to support a long-term favorable trend in demand for titanium across all major industry market sectors which has favorably impacted melted and mill titanium prices. Current trends in market demands have also resulted in a shift of the Company's product mix toward an increased proportion of mill products, including a higher mix of aerospace plate and sheet products, which require additional processing and resources as compared to melted products, but which also command higher sales prices. While volumes of melted and mill products declined somewhat compared to the same period in the prior year due primarily to the near-term effects of production delays with certain commercial aircraft and other adjustments to build-out schedules of certain customers, increased pricing on our products and a favorable shift in product mix more than offset the effects of the decline in aggregate sales volume.
Operating income increased 26% to $118.0 million for the quarter ended June 30, 2007 compared to $93.6 million for the quarter ended June 30, 2006. In addition to increased production costs associated with the shift in product mix to a greater percentage of mill products, cost of sales also increased due to higher costs of certain raw materials, including titanium sponge. Despite the increased cost of sales associated with higher raw material and production costs, profitability improved, as the favorable effect of higher average selling prices and a favorable change in product mix more than offset the effect of the higher costs. Operating income comparisons were also impacted by a reduction in other operating income in 2007, due primarily to $4.1 million of equity in earnings TIMET recognized in the second quarter of 2006 from our VALTIMET joint venture that was sold in December 2006.
The Company's sales order backlog at the end of June 2007 was $1.0 billion compared to $1.0 billion at the end of March 2007 and $0.9 billion at the end of June 2006.
Steven L. Watson, Vice Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, said, "We continue to see long-term favorable demand trends across all of our primary markets. Our facilities are operating at high capacity levels that improve cost efficiency, contributing to our record levels of operating income. While our near-term focus remains on maximizing our existing productive capacity through initiatives that emphasize efficiency, innovation and technological advances, we are also continuing our efforts to expand our productive capacity across all areas of our manufacturing operations. We are committed to maintaining the certainty, quality and reliability of supply to service the expanding needs of our current and prospective customers.
"Our 4,000 metric ton Vacuum Distillation Process ("VDP") sponge expansion in Henderson, Nevada commenced commercial production in April 2007, and we expect to be operating at full annual capacity of approximately 12,600 metric tons by the end of the third quarter of 2007. As part of our plans to assure our future supply of raw materials, we are continuing our design, engineering and site selection for a new VDP premium-grade sponge facility. We are also continuing to explore and pursue additional third-party long-term sources of sponge and scrap.
"Our electron beam cold hearth ("EB") melt capacity addition in Morgantown, Pennsylvania of approximately 8,500 metric tons, annually, is on schedule for an anticipated completion date of early 2008. We also commenced efforts to add a similar EB furnace at our Morgantown, Pennsylvania facility, scheduled to be completed in the last half of 2009. During 2007 we have also commenced construction of additional vacuum arc remelt ("VAR") capacity additions at our Witton, Morgantown and Savoie locations, all of which are expected to be completed by the end of the second quarter of 2008. Upon completion, these melt capacity additions will increase our EB melt capacity by approximately 107% and will increase our VAR capacity by approximately 34%. As we continue to adjust our long-term business plan in response to industry trends, we will consider more additions to our melt capacity based on our raw material sources and product mix.

Monday, August 06, 2007

Asian Markets Rebound Tuesday Morning

HONG KONG (MarketWatch) -- Asian markets rebounded early Tuesday, inspired by a strong overnight recovery on Wall Street, as bargain buying lifted financial stocks such as Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group and Mizuho Financial Group in Japan, and Macquarie Bank in Australia.