Two Large Institutions are stepping up their position on LNG on 02/14/11.
KLEINHEINZ CAPITAL PARTNERS and
ORBIS INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT
Click This Link For More
Tuesday, February 22, 2011
UPDATE: Icahn Makes $1.91B Bid For Mentor Graphics
NEW YORK (AP) -- Activist investor Carl Icahn has offered to buy software maker Mentor Graphics (MENT) for $17 per share in cash, or about $1.9 billion, according to a company regulatory filing on Tuesday. Icahn owns 15.7% of Motricity (MOTR). Let's see how MOTR plays out.
Saturday, February 12, 2011
Carl Icahn Files 13G on Motricity - MOTR
Late Friday, Feb 11, 2011, 04:44PM a 13G filing shows Carl Icahn Owns 15.7% Stake in Motricity (MOTR).
His current holdings are at 6,782,038.626 shares. This is very Bullish news.
His current holdings are at 6,782,038.626 shares. This is very Bullish news.
Wednesday, February 02, 2011
Tuesday, February 01, 2011
Monday, January 31, 2011
Citigroup Upgrades LNG to a BUY - $10.00 Target
This info is confirmed. Citigroup Upgrades LNG to a BUY - $10.00 Target up from $5.00.
Sunday, January 30, 2011
The Arbitrage Is Very Clear
The arbitrage (taking advantage of a price difference between two or more markets) seems very clear as long as oil stays high over the next decade and natural gas prices in the US are low due to a glut here domestically. It makes a great case for arbitrage to export liquified natural gas at a base cost of around $4.50 MMBtu in the US and sell it for 2x - 3x that price in Asia and Europe.
We identified another exciting opportunity two years ago with Interoil (NYSE - IOC) at $10.00. Then, like Blackstone with Cheniere, George Soros and others saw the vision and possibilities and jumped in big. IOC:NYSE is currently a seven bagger now. See Link
Here's what we need in this country....Jobs, an important Obama agenda item. The DOE approval coming at almost any day will grant us thousands of jobs and Cheniere should obtain relatively easy financing from JP Morgan and Morgan Stanley against their several "pending" definitive trading commitment contracts strategically aligned with the following entities through MOU's:
ENN Energy of China
Gas Natural Fenosa of Spain
Sumitomo of Japan
EDF Trading of France
Encana
Bechtel will do the engineering and construction. They are already on board.
Interest is lining up around the world to get in on this project as Cheniere's Co-Founder, Chairman, Chief Executive Officer and President Mr. Charif Souki negotiates the best play on our behalf with the help of supporters including: Gov. Bobby Jindal, Chesapeake Energy, Blackstone Group, the banks and the world's largest foreign trade partners.
This project caught our eye and frankly it will be Life Changing for anyone who can see CEO Charif Souki's vision, much like the vision of this business maharaja Mukesh Ambani.
As a student of John Paulson and David Tepper, all you need to do is step back and get a 40 ft view above the trees and ask yourself some simple questions like the one's we've faced over the past 3 years. Is housing going to sustain the run or crash? Will gold going higher in times of crisis? Will the stock market run if the FED is giving banks free money to invest to accelerate these markets? This arbitrage seems just as clear.
The time to get in this investment is now. We are about to embark on some historic "World Changing" events here in the US. Here is our recent chart.
Our estimated target is between $15 - $20 per share once the DOE approval gets announced and the project takes hold. A 3 - 5 year target would be $30 - $40+ once the project starts reaching revenue projections.
Supporting documents:
1) Gov. Bobby Jindal letter of support.
2) ExxonMobil news about Natural Gas
3) Who are the players trading LNG around the world?
a) EDF Trading MOU
b) Encana MOU
c) ENN MOU
d) Gas Natural Fernosa MOU
e) Sumitomo MOU
4) Who will supply the domestic Natural Gas?
Chesapeake Energy (NYSE – CHK)
a) CHK Letter of support
5) Who will transport the newly developed LNG? Glad you asked. John Fredreksen’s companies: Golar (GLNG)
6) Next – who is John Fredriksen? Forbes richest shipping magnate...
7) Who are the finance partners? Morgan Stanley and JP Morgan
Disclosure: We are very bullish and long on Chienere Energy. We would be foolish not to be.
We identified another exciting opportunity two years ago with Interoil (NYSE - IOC) at $10.00. Then, like Blackstone with Cheniere, George Soros and others saw the vision and possibilities and jumped in big. IOC:NYSE is currently a seven bagger now. See Link
Here's what we need in this country....Jobs, an important Obama agenda item. The DOE approval coming at almost any day will grant us thousands of jobs and Cheniere should obtain relatively easy financing from JP Morgan and Morgan Stanley against their several "pending" definitive trading commitment contracts strategically aligned with the following entities through MOU's:
ENN Energy of China
Gas Natural Fenosa of Spain
Sumitomo of Japan
EDF Trading of France
Encana
Bechtel will do the engineering and construction. They are already on board.
Interest is lining up around the world to get in on this project as Cheniere's Co-Founder, Chairman, Chief Executive Officer and President Mr. Charif Souki negotiates the best play on our behalf with the help of supporters including: Gov. Bobby Jindal, Chesapeake Energy, Blackstone Group, the banks and the world's largest foreign trade partners.
This project caught our eye and frankly it will be Life Changing for anyone who can see CEO Charif Souki's vision, much like the vision of this business maharaja Mukesh Ambani.
As a student of John Paulson and David Tepper, all you need to do is step back and get a 40 ft view above the trees and ask yourself some simple questions like the one's we've faced over the past 3 years. Is housing going to sustain the run or crash? Will gold going higher in times of crisis? Will the stock market run if the FED is giving banks free money to invest to accelerate these markets? This arbitrage seems just as clear.
The time to get in this investment is now. We are about to embark on some historic "World Changing" events here in the US. Here is our recent chart.
Our estimated target is between $15 - $20 per share once the DOE approval gets announced and the project takes hold. A 3 - 5 year target would be $30 - $40+ once the project starts reaching revenue projections.
Supporting documents:
1) Gov. Bobby Jindal letter of support.
2) ExxonMobil news about Natural Gas
3) Who are the players trading LNG around the world?
a) EDF Trading MOU
b) Encana MOU
c) ENN MOU
d) Gas Natural Fernosa MOU
e) Sumitomo MOU
4) Who will supply the domestic Natural Gas?
Chesapeake Energy (NYSE – CHK)
a) CHK Letter of support
5) Who will transport the newly developed LNG? Glad you asked. John Fredreksen’s companies: Golar (GLNG)
6) Next – who is John Fredriksen? Forbes richest shipping magnate...
7) Who are the finance partners? Morgan Stanley and JP Morgan
Disclosure: We are very bullish and long on Chienere Energy. We would be foolish not to be.
Thursday, January 27, 2011
Tuesday, January 25, 2011
Tuesday, January 18, 2011
LNG Chart - Targets
Back the truck up and load up on LNG. Within 12 months you can probably expect to see LNG trading between $15 - $20 per share once we get DOE approval to help the US finally become involved in exporting lng to WTO countries in the Europe and Asian markets! You heard it here, now get on board now!
Sunday, December 12, 2010
We're Back With A Few Special Plays For December - January
Get ready for the Christmas Rally and here are Two Very Good Stocks To Follow Through The New Year.
Last time we came back we were pounding the table on DRYS in December 2008 at $5.00 and in January 2009 it went through $15.00.
This December we like Cheniere Energy (LNG) and iStar (SFI).
LNG News
iStar Turnaround News
Last time we came back we were pounding the table on DRYS in December 2008 at $5.00 and in January 2009 it went through $15.00.
This December we like Cheniere Energy (LNG) and iStar (SFI).
LNG News
iStar Turnaround News
Tuesday, February 03, 2009
((((((((((((((( We Have Retired )))))))))))))))
Thanks to our followers, traders and investors. We hope that our time here created a lot of value to investors around the country and abroad. This site takes quite a bit of time updating and we just don't have it any more, so we have retired for now until further notice. A good position to hold through these tough market cycles is GOLD.
Friday, January 02, 2009
Dryships - DRYS - Best Pick Since Nov 2008
Beating out most money managers for 2008, we came out of retirement with this post in November 2008 after seeing that several investors were getting absolutely slaughtered by the crooks on Wall Street who were pulling their bids on good stocks in an attempt to steal cheap shares when "Massive" sell orders hit Wall Street in what we would call forced Hedge Fund liquidations by scared investors. Click and Read Notes: http://emergingstocks.blogspot.com/2008_11_23_archive.html
Wednesday, December 31, 2008
Wednesday, December 24, 2008
Bernard Madoff Investment Securities Holdings
SEC Filing on Holdings
MSNBC's Video On Madoff
Madoff received a wave of redemption notices in recent months from investors looking to preserve cash. Authorities say investors sought to pull out some $7 billion from the fund — money Madoff apparently did not have. In the end, most Ponzi schemes collapse when too many investors seek to pull their money out at the same time, and the operator doesn’t have the cash on hand.
MSNBC's Video On Madoff
Madoff received a wave of redemption notices in recent months from investors looking to preserve cash. Authorities say investors sought to pull out some $7 billion from the fund — money Madoff apparently did not have. In the end, most Ponzi schemes collapse when too many investors seek to pull their money out at the same time, and the operator doesn’t have the cash on hand.
Monday, December 22, 2008
Thursday, December 18, 2008
China To Increase Iron Ore Imports
China is forecast to increase iron ore imports by 40m tonnes in 2009.
Tuesday, December 16, 2008
Lots of Activity On DRYS in Pre-Market and AH Trading - The Trend Is Up
Definitely avoid getting caught short on this stock or you could find yourself getting cut in half in a matter of days. (Click on the chart) Shorts need to cover immediately and go long to avoid further losses. DRYS will probably GAP UP on the opening again tomorrow, then continue its run up another 10% - 20%.
Dry Ships Index Up +8.2% And Climbing
Click: Shippers continue to run as the Dry Ships Index rises again today. Take some profits on some of your GNK and roll it into DRYS, which is trading at a $2.00 - $3.00 discount to GNK at this time. DRYS should be trading at $13 - $14 soon, especially since GNK is almost $15 today.
DRYS Stock Trading in a Channel with tomorrow looking like we could break through $12.00 - $12.50 if the BDI continues to spike as it has been doing.
DRYS Stock Trading in a Channel with tomorrow looking like we could break through $12.00 - $12.50 if the BDI continues to spike as it has been doing.
Monday, December 15, 2008
Friday, December 12, 2008
Japan Governmant Expands Stimulus Package By 6 Times To $131 Billion; Tokyo Announces Economic Measures Worth $295 Billion; Europe Backs $264 Billion
Japan's government said it would expand the size of funds set aside to recapitalise banks to 12 trillion yen ($131.1 billion) from 2 trillion yen and also announced a 1 trillion yen package to secure jobs. It was not clear how much of the money was new.
Tokyo has already announced a package of economic measures worth 27 trillion yen ($295 billion), which included 5 trillion yen in new spending and featured payouts to families, tax breaks on mortgages and relief for small firms.
"We are working at a very high speed. The size of the economic measures will be worked out until the last minute," Finance Minister Shoichi Nakagawa told a news conference just before the new measures were unveiled.
European Union leaders backed a 200 billion euro ($264 billion) economic stimulus pact, said British Prime Minister Gordon Brown.
Tokyo has already announced a package of economic measures worth 27 trillion yen ($295 billion), which included 5 trillion yen in new spending and featured payouts to families, tax breaks on mortgages and relief for small firms.
"We are working at a very high speed. The size of the economic measures will be worked out until the last minute," Finance Minister Shoichi Nakagawa told a news conference just before the new measures were unveiled.
European Union leaders backed a 200 billion euro ($264 billion) economic stimulus pact, said British Prime Minister Gordon Brown.
Baltic Dry Index (BDI) +53 to 764
The BDI is turning up again as it advances 53 points today and bounces off its low point that it hit last week.We think that this index may have bottomed last week and see the start of a shipping turnaround in process. Expect the shipping stocks to continue their rally despite the slight pullback yesterday. This looks a replay from December 2005 through October 2007. This is where you accumulate stock (at these cheap levels) before everyone figures it out. Any shares under the $10 - $12 level is an absolute steal.
Thursday, December 11, 2008
The BDI Shipping Index Has Finally Turned Up
See the chart here. Now, are we overbought or is shipping a ground floor opportunity to get in? Looks like $3,000 to $230,000 is the target somewhere in 2009! Buy and Hold Through January - April when China imports the most ore for the year. Here are a few good reasons to Buy and Hold:
1) Banking is getting back online.
2) Investors are boarding shipping companies now.
3) Chinese steel makers wanted the new annual pricing for ore to start from January 1, instead of from April to get the shippers moving sooner. China’s iron ore stockpiles at its major ports and warehouses had exceeded a record 100-million tons.
1) Banking is getting back online.
2) Investors are boarding shipping companies now.
3) Chinese steel makers wanted the new annual pricing for ore to start from January 1, instead of from April to get the shippers moving sooner. China’s iron ore stockpiles at its major ports and warehouses had exceeded a record 100-million tons.
Wednesday, December 10, 2008
Do Not Short Stocks Into The Christmas Rally
Shorting stocks into a Christmas rally can be detrimental to your portfolio as many traders and investors experienced going into Thanksgiving this year. Hold your positions.
A Key Element To The Run In Shipping Stocks
Once Wall Street figures this out, you should see the shipping stocks continue to climb. Please read this article.
More Shipping News In The WSJ
The Wall Street Journal News reports: Investors are once again doubling down on the shipping stocks, pursuing those companies after a year-long selloff.
Also - see our notes from 12/04/2008:
1) Here is some news worth reading again
2) Rumors of buyout circulating on DryShips
3) There is a Shipping Conference going on in NY this week
4) The UDW Primelead spin-off is still in the works
5) China to order Billions in goods that should get shippers moving again
6) News of a Multi-Billion China railway to speed up the economy
7) Bank credit is finally thawing, allowing goods to be shipped again worldwide
8) Australian coal exports pick up as Newcastle reports an almost 60% increase of coal shipments in the last week of November and more then 40 ships waiting in line to load
9) There are over 6,300,000 shares short on this stock with a tight float
10) DRYS stock could easily "Triple" from here with all the news coming in at once: Easing of credit, China material orders, Coal exports, short covering, and the UDW spinoff
Also - see our notes from 12/04/2008:
1) Here is some news worth reading again2) Rumors of buyout circulating on DryShips
3) There is a Shipping Conference going on in NY this week
4) The UDW Primelead spin-off is still in the works
5) China to order Billions in goods that should get shippers moving again
6) News of a Multi-Billion China railway to speed up the economy
7) Bank credit is finally thawing, allowing goods to be shipped again worldwide
8) Australian coal exports pick up as Newcastle reports an almost 60% increase of coal shipments in the last week of November and more then 40 ships waiting in line to load
9) There are over 6,300,000 shares short on this stock with a tight float
10) DRYS stock could easily "Triple" from here with all the news coming in at once: Easing of credit, China material orders, Coal exports, short covering, and the UDW spinoff
Tuesday, December 09, 2008
Shipping Stocks Are Currently Leading The Way
Options story about DRYS - DryShips.
DRYS is recently up $3.11 to $10.29. DRYS owns and operates a fleet of drybulk carriers. DRYS January 12.5 calls have traded 608 times on transaction volume of 9,686 contracts, its open interest of 3,380 contracts. DRYS December 10 straddle is priced at $3.60, DRYS January 10 straddle is priced at $5.90 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price movement.
Also - Shippers have been mentioned positively at Credit Suisse who we suspected were big buyers in DRYS and GNK last week. Credit Suisse said they are hearing of a pick-up in metals activity in Asia, which is a positive on DRYS, TBSI, DSX, and GNK.
DRYS is recently up $3.11 to $10.29. DRYS owns and operates a fleet of drybulk carriers. DRYS January 12.5 calls have traded 608 times on transaction volume of 9,686 contracts, its open interest of 3,380 contracts. DRYS December 10 straddle is priced at $3.60, DRYS January 10 straddle is priced at $5.90 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price movement.
Also - Shippers have been mentioned positively at Credit Suisse who we suspected were big buyers in DRYS and GNK last week. Credit Suisse said they are hearing of a pick-up in metals activity in Asia, which is a positive on DRYS, TBSI, DSX, and GNK.
Friday, December 05, 2008
YRCW Shorts Were Crushed This Week
We certainly missed this one when it was trading at a mere $1.50 the other day. Our sources show that the hedge funds shorted 17,000,000 shares of this stock and were forced to cover! This is a transportation stock and was due to come back to a "real" valuation multiple, and not a BK multiple. People overreacted and over sold this stock, just like many others have been oversold when the HF's hammered the bids on good quality stocks because their investors just plain "wanted out" at any cost a few weeks ago. What a shame! Many good stocks got massacred! We follow a few here. I think the shipping sector is going to bounce next once they get the banks online with their letters of credit to be able to support all the new China orders recently! Barclay's Bank will probably lead the way like Lehman did from what we are hearing. Get ready for an explosion when this happens because most have prepared for the worst, and well, we just don't see it. People still need to eat and the world economies need supplies and materials unless we're missing something here....consumption will still happen on a Global basis. Stay tuned.
Thursday, December 04, 2008
Newcastle Is Reporting That There Are 41 Ships Waiting to Load Coal
On December 1, they reported that there are 41 vessels off the port waiting to load 3,383,662 tonnes of coal. There are three vessels in the port loading 326,000 tonnes. Click to see the report
Wednesday, December 03, 2008
Breaking News: China Stimulus Spelled Out
The government Wednesday unveiled a raft of measures to encourage lending by financial institutions to infrastructure projects, small businesses and potential home and car buyers. Click Here To Read The News
Tuesday, December 02, 2008
Clinton And China News
HONG KONG -- At the opening of the two-day Clinton Global Initiative (CGI) meeting in Hong Kong, former US president Bill Clinton Tuesday urged China to contribute more to fight the global financial crisis, climate change and terrorism. Click For News
More News From China
Du Ying, vice-minister of the National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) said on that this year's grain yield is on course for a record high of 525 million tons. Click For The Full Story
Monday, December 01, 2008
Great News From China
BHP Pops $4.00 in AH on the China news!
Hellenic Shipping News reports this weekend that all hopes for a turnaround are on China. Well, late today China Yunnan province announced that is is going to buy $3 Billion in metals according to Reuters news service. Click for News.
Hellenic Shipping News reports this weekend that all hopes for a turnaround are on China. Well, late today China Yunnan province announced that is is going to buy $3 Billion in metals according to Reuters news service. Click for News.
Bernanke: Lower interest rates are "feasible"
Expect rates to go lower and then stay low for quite some time. Bernanke says Fed has options as rates near "Zero". Also - The market sells off on the NBER news that we already new last year and should be built into the market already!
A Real and Free Trading Lesson
Here's the Lesson:
People here who are bullish need to look up the word Intrinsic Value. OK, here you go... The actual value of a company or an asset based on an underlying perception of its true value including all aspects of the business, in terms of both tangible and intangible factors. This value may or may not be the same as the current market value. Value investors use a variety of analytical techniques in order to estimate the intrinsic value of securities in hopes of finding investments where the true value of the investment exceeds its current market value.
What happened around the week of November 17, 2008?
When the forced selling came in it didn't matter what the Intrinsic Value was for the stock. The mutual funds, margin call sell outs, and Hedge Fund's were forced to sell at "whatever" the price was. I'd call it CAPITULATION. The Key words "FORCED" and "CAPITULATION". Your opportunity to BUY! View it like a forced sell on your neighbors house if it had to be sold in one or two days. You are not going to get Top Dollar by any means but it will sell for a deep deep discount, right?
OK, then what happens?
Well, as a former WS trader that has seen this many times, the "traders" / "Market Makers" drop the Bid Price and keep dropping it to bring in the shares at the best price. If there was massive selling say at $15, the MM's dropped to $14, 13, 12, 11, 10, 9, 8, 7 ,6 ,5 ,4....you see?
It doesn't mean that the price is the True Value. Its just where the MM's place the Bids until a buyer steps in who has $$$$ can take some heat. No one wanted to take any more heat as bids faded daily. People were scared. Again a buying opportunity to "leg" in as the stock kept falling....averaging in along the way.
So you might ask...What happens when the market ticks up and gets stronger? Well, as in the case of DryShips - DRYS, the MM's dont want to keep the Ask price or offer at $4.00 so they back away just like the reverse of the drop. The MM's move from $4 to $5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, then up to $20? $30? They keep moving up or lose their high cost shares at $5.00, 6, 7?? No way.
Anyways, the hard drops were done to get your shares too. This is how GS and Cantor make $100's of million in trading stocks every year! Get it? Yeah, its real. It happens all the time! Called, backing and filling....
My prediction based on past trading experience of over 25 years:
Look for a fierce bounce in the coming weeks as the smart money figures out that many stocks are trading well below their Intrinsic Values and we should get a bump from the worldwide stimulus packages too. Also, expect other Hedge Funds like George Soros and Paul Tudor to stop the liquidations at these absurd prices. George's traders were massively selling and he fired several of them. Rightly so. Go read about these HF's today.
OK, Have a good day. I hope that this was helpful? Be good.
People here who are bullish need to look up the word Intrinsic Value. OK, here you go... The actual value of a company or an asset based on an underlying perception of its true value including all aspects of the business, in terms of both tangible and intangible factors. This value may or may not be the same as the current market value. Value investors use a variety of analytical techniques in order to estimate the intrinsic value of securities in hopes of finding investments where the true value of the investment exceeds its current market value.
What happened around the week of November 17, 2008?
When the forced selling came in it didn't matter what the Intrinsic Value was for the stock. The mutual funds, margin call sell outs, and Hedge Fund's were forced to sell at "whatever" the price was. I'd call it CAPITULATION. The Key words "FORCED" and "CAPITULATION". Your opportunity to BUY! View it like a forced sell on your neighbors house if it had to be sold in one or two days. You are not going to get Top Dollar by any means but it will sell for a deep deep discount, right?
OK, then what happens?
Well, as a former WS trader that has seen this many times, the "traders" / "Market Makers" drop the Bid Price and keep dropping it to bring in the shares at the best price. If there was massive selling say at $15, the MM's dropped to $14, 13, 12, 11, 10, 9, 8, 7 ,6 ,5 ,4....you see?
It doesn't mean that the price is the True Value. Its just where the MM's place the Bids until a buyer steps in who has $$$$ can take some heat. No one wanted to take any more heat as bids faded daily. People were scared. Again a buying opportunity to "leg" in as the stock kept falling....averaging in along the way.
So you might ask...What happens when the market ticks up and gets stronger? Well, as in the case of DryShips - DRYS, the MM's dont want to keep the Ask price or offer at $4.00 so they back away just like the reverse of the drop. The MM's move from $4 to $5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, then up to $20? $30? They keep moving up or lose their high cost shares at $5.00, 6, 7?? No way.
Anyways, the hard drops were done to get your shares too. This is how GS and Cantor make $100's of million in trading stocks every year! Get it? Yeah, its real. It happens all the time! Called, backing and filling....
My prediction based on past trading experience of over 25 years:
Look for a fierce bounce in the coming weeks as the smart money figures out that many stocks are trading well below their Intrinsic Values and we should get a bump from the worldwide stimulus packages too. Also, expect other Hedge Funds like George Soros and Paul Tudor to stop the liquidations at these absurd prices. George's traders were massively selling and he fired several of them. Rightly so. Go read about these HF's today.
OK, Have a good day. I hope that this was helpful? Be good.
DRYS - DryShips: Buy On Any Weakness
Look for any dips as a way to Buy shares in DRYS. This stock is completely undervalued. 60% of their ships have locked in high day rates for an average of 5 years. One fund has been a seller and probably sold whatever they had left: Wellington Fund. I guess its better to take them out at $4.40 than $5.50? The buyers have been UBS, Credit Suisse, Goldman Sachs, Barclays, and others. This is at least a $30 stock folks. Company presentation October 6, 2008.
Friday, November 28, 2008
((((((((((((((((( OK, I'm Back )))))))))))))))))))
I think we have probably seen the bottom on the Dow around 11/21/2008 and we probably have another 1,000 points on the Dow to run still. Shorts are running to cover almost everywhere we look, and rightly so. The ST capitulation, margin sell-outs, forced brokerage sell-outs and HF forced sales from scared investors seem to be behind us. I love the recent news about George Soros and his HF's.
MY FAVORITE PICK RIGHT NOW IS: DRYS
Completely undervalued. The Intrinsic Value or real stock value appears to be somewhere between $30 - $40 per share! The MACD and Full STO signals have turned up too! This was once a $115 stock and got caught up in Hedge Fund and panic selling! The forced selling looks like it started around $20.00 and the bids were no where to be found so it dropped to the $4.30 level. Completely absurd at this level stll! The company is lead by who many are calling the next Aristotle Onasis. His name is George Economou, an MIT graduate with several business degrees and he knows the shipping business better than anyone in the world!
1. Click Chart To Enlarge
2. DRYS Company Info: Click and read page 20.
3. CEO: Don't Dump DryShips
4. More DRYS Info.
5. The panic of the Global Financial Crisis is being overturned with renewed hope from the Billions and Billions in worldwide stimulus packages!
Lets evaluate where we go from here early next week. Keep an eye on my short list of positions. I have others and may add them later, time willing. Be good.
MY FAVORITE PICK RIGHT NOW IS: DRYS
Completely undervalued. The Intrinsic Value or real stock value appears to be somewhere between $30 - $40 per share! The MACD and Full STO signals have turned up too! This was once a $115 stock and got caught up in Hedge Fund and panic selling! The forced selling looks like it started around $20.00 and the bids were no where to be found so it dropped to the $4.30 level. Completely absurd at this level stll! The company is lead by who many are calling the next Aristotle Onasis. His name is George Economou, an MIT graduate with several business degrees and he knows the shipping business better than anyone in the world!
1. Click Chart To Enlarge
2. DRYS Company Info: Click and read page 20.
3. CEO: Don't Dump DryShips
4. More DRYS Info.
5. The panic of the Global Financial Crisis is being overturned with renewed hope from the Billions and Billions in worldwide stimulus packages!
Lets evaluate where we go from here early next week. Keep an eye on my short list of positions. I have others and may add them later, time willing. Be good.
Tuesday, October 02, 2007
Taking A Break On This Blog
Take some profits when you can and let your winners run. Don't forget to take some money off the table on some of the high fliers though. My time is limited lately and will be taking a break from this blog for a while. Watch the market closely at the end of September to Mid-October 2007. If it starts to sell off get completely out and wait for the bottom which may not occur until sometime in 2008. We are not sure what all the sub-prime news that was just revealed will bring so please be careful.
Thursday, September 20, 2007
Wednesday, August 29, 2007
The FED Is Expected To Cut Rates At Every Meeting Moving Forward To Stop The Stall In The US Economy
Cover any shorts now, because the FED could move at almost any time on or before September 18. Then, if the market breaks down, get short and stay short. A favorite short would be "SKF" in the $70 range.
Friday, August 24, 2007
Thursday, August 23, 2007
The Russian Air Show Is In Process
Organizers said over 540 Russian companies and at least 240 foreign firms from over 100 countries are participating in the air show this year.
Click - For Link
Click - For Link
Metal Stocks - Not Effected By Subprime or Credit Crunch Yet
There is an huge demand for metals from China and India so many companies are trying to expand their operations just to keep up with the high demands.
Click - To Read Article
Click - To Read Article
Tuesday, August 21, 2007
The Rocket Is Lit With Titanium Metals - TIE
Expect some serious short covering with TIE in the next few days backed up by unusually high insider buying these past few days! Insider Buying Info.
We could see a bounce to the $35 level soon as the MACD starts to turn up. It should cross over at the $30.60 - $30.70 level then proceed higher! TIE Chart
We could see a bounce to the $35 level soon as the MACD starts to turn up. It should cross over at the $30.60 - $30.70 level then proceed higher! TIE Chart
Friday, August 17, 2007
Wednesday, August 15, 2007
Tuesday, August 14, 2007
Receiving Emails About ...What Is Going On?
There seems to be a panic on the street and all logic usually goes out the window. While we are losing short term, I think that a bounce is warranted and soon. I would be holding stocks like AA, ATI, Delphi, AMX and a few others. Having made some markets in stocks years ago...when the markets look ugly and sellers keep hitting the bids, the strategy was to just drop the bids and keep dropping them until the selling stops, unfortunately. The values were worth more, but when everyone wants to sell at one time, it is usually the practice to drop. Its like trying to sell your house immediately today and there are really no buyers. The prices we see today are not what I would call "real". In time of chaos, and hype played up on programs like CNBC, we find that there is a limited market or no market for stocks when everyone panics as we have seen over the past few days. The fundamentals haven't changed so please remember that if you are nervous. Focus on the fundamentals and it will all work out.
Remember these very important lessons:
1) When the market is running and you get euphoric and you start calculating all the money that you are making - sell some stock and keep selling if it continues to run
2) When the market looks bad are you are scared beyond belief - buy some high quality stocks and leg in more on further drops
3) Repeat the process
Remember these very important lessons:
1) When the market is running and you get euphoric and you start calculating all the money that you are making - sell some stock and keep selling if it continues to run
2) When the market looks bad are you are scared beyond belief - buy some high quality stocks and leg in more on further drops
3) Repeat the process
2 Billionaires Buying Stock - Carl Icahn and Harold Simmons
Carl Icahn: WASHINGTON, Aug 14 (Reuters) - U.S. billionaire investor Carl Icahn reported on Tuesday that his fund has taken significant stakes in aluminum companies Alcan Inc. and Alcoa Inc. (AA), which had previously held discussions to merge. Icahn Management LP reported in a filing with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission its holdings as of June 30, which included a 3.52 million share stake in Alcoa and a 1.18 million share stake in Alcan.
Harold Simmons - Click Here
Harold Simmons - Click Here
Monday, August 13, 2007
FED's Monetary Policy
Last night Bloomberg reported that the FED's goal was to take rates from 5.25% to 4.75% by March of 2008. I would bet on an emergency FED rate cut before their next meeting if things get worse. Stay calm, everything will work out with a lot of EC's working together to calm the markets.
Anatomy Of A Professional Wash Out - InterOil - IOC
You have to assume that good news from IOC went to insiders and preferred stockholders a few months ago. With that news, here's what the Billionaire investors and large hedge funds do. SLAM the bids with huge blocks. Maybe even initiate a huge short position and drive out all stop orders and small investors, then re-buy those shares and then some. Following what appears to be a collapse in the stock, the manipulators take the stock to new highs when the real news is disseminated to the average folk. See for yourself. This is how the game is played.
Here is the news: Click Here
Here is the chart: Click Here
Here is the news: Click Here
Here is the chart: Click Here
Saturday, August 11, 2007
Insider Transactions
Click - To Read
BTW - This confirms the Russian Tycoon buying into GM as reported earlier this week.
BTW - This confirms the Russian Tycoon buying into GM as reported earlier this week.
Highland Capital Benefits From Shorting Subprime
As you know, we have been following the moves from Highland Capital for years. They are very smart people who know the investment business.
Click - To Read
Click - To Read
Thursday, August 09, 2007
Alcoa Takeover Speculation - Target $49
Friedman, Billings, Ramsey & Co. upgraded shares in AA to outperform from market perform Thursday, saying the recent sell-off in the aluminum producer's stock price "has completely removed any takeover premium in the name and provides upside potential" even if it's not bought out. Analyst Amir Arif kept his price target at $49 and said "there is a good probability of a takeout."
Wednesday, August 08, 2007
Shorts Take A Beating With Harold Simmon's Company Valhi - VHI and NL Industries
Click - For Info
Rumor has it that Harold Simmons has hired an investment bank to sell off some of his assets. The NYSE asks the company for a comment on the unusual activity. VHI says, we don't comment on stock activity. Something looks like it is in the works. Also - There has been a lot of speculation that Harold and Annette Simmons are setting up their companies up to be sold follow an unusually high degree of insider buying by the Simmon's family over the last few weeks in Titanium Metals stock. Click - To See Insider Buying
We see that Blackrock is taking a piece of VHI already. Click Here
Rumor has it that Harold Simmons has hired an investment bank to sell off some of his assets. The NYSE asks the company for a comment on the unusual activity. VHI says, we don't comment on stock activity. Something looks like it is in the works. Also - There has been a lot of speculation that Harold and Annette Simmons are setting up their companies up to be sold follow an unusually high degree of insider buying by the Simmon's family over the last few weeks in Titanium Metals stock. Click - To See Insider Buying
We see that Blackrock is taking a piece of VHI already. Click Here
Alcoa Back In Play
Alcoa upgraded to "buy"
Tuesday, August 07, 2007 10:24:21 AM ET
Davenport & Co.
NEW YORK, August 7 (newratings.com) - Analysts at Davenport & Company upgrade Alcoa Inc (AA.NYS) to "buy." The target price is set to $43.
In a research note published this morning, the analysts mention that there is a 50% possibility of the company receiving a takeover offer from BHP Billiton, CVRD or a private equity. Any takeout offer for Alcoa is expected to be higher than the target price, the analysts say. The upgrade in the rating is based on valuation and the company�s fundamentals, Davenport & Company adds.
Tuesday, August 07, 2007 10:24:21 AM ET
Davenport & Co.
NEW YORK, August 7 (newratings.com) - Analysts at Davenport & Company upgrade Alcoa Inc (AA.NYS) to "buy." The target price is set to $43.
In a research note published this morning, the analysts mention that there is a 50% possibility of the company receiving a takeover offer from BHP Billiton, CVRD or a private equity. Any takeout offer for Alcoa is expected to be higher than the target price, the analysts say. The upgrade in the rating is based on valuation and the company�s fundamentals, Davenport & Company adds.
Tuesday, August 07, 2007
Sources In London Say A Russian Metals Tycoon Is Looking At GM and Other US Assets
As you know, we follow the best metals companies, but Russians buying into GM? We think that more and more foreign tycoons are interested in top quality US assets. With all the insider buying going on in Titanium Metals (TIE- NYSE) we can see someone taking a strong interest in the US's #1 Titanium company as well. Analysts have a target on TIE at $41 and earnings and expansion plans seem to suggest that TIE is on the fast track to continue their 23% ROA and 38% ROE. The Rolls-Royce Trent 1000, launch engine for the Boeing 787 Dreamliner, has received its airworthiness certification on schedule as well. Click - For News
Question: Why all the insider buying here? Unlike anything that we have ever seen. Ever! What does Harold Simmons know that we don't? Is he setting his company up to go private accumulating all the float? Click - For News
Question: Why all the insider buying here? Unlike anything that we have ever seen. Ever! What does Harold Simmons know that we don't? Is he setting his company up to go private accumulating all the float? Click - For News
TIMET Reports Second Quarter 2007 Results and Additional Titanium Melt Capacity Expansion Plans
| PRNewswire 5:00 p.m. 08/07/2007 | ||
DALLAS, Aug 07, 2007 /PRNewswire-FirstCall via COMTEX/ -- Titanium Metals Corporation ("TIMET" or the "Company") (TIE) reported its net income attributable to common stockholders increased 41% to $76.3 million, or $0.42 per diluted share, for the quarter ended June 30, 2007, compared to $54.3 million, or $0.31 per diluted share, for the quarter ended June 30, 2006.
The Company's net sales increased 13% from $300.9 million during the second quarter of 2006 to $341.2 million during the second quarter of 2007 due primarily to increases in average selling prices and favorable changes in product mix. Overall industry fundamentals and outlook continue to support a long-term favorable trend in demand for titanium across all major industry market sectors which has favorably impacted melted and mill titanium prices. Current trends in market demands have also resulted in a shift of the Company's product mix toward an increased proportion of mill products, including a higher mix of aerospace plate and sheet products, which require additional processing and resources as compared to melted products, but which also command higher sales prices. While volumes of melted and mill products declined somewhat compared to the same period in the prior year due primarily to the near-term effects of production delays with certain commercial aircraft and other adjustments to build-out schedules of certain customers, increased pricing on our products and a favorable shift in product mix more than offset the effects of the decline in aggregate sales volume.
Operating income increased 26% to $118.0 million for the quarter ended June 30, 2007 compared to $93.6 million for the quarter ended June 30, 2006. In addition to increased production costs associated with the shift in product mix to a greater percentage of mill products, cost of sales also increased due to higher costs of certain raw materials, including titanium sponge. Despite the increased cost of sales associated with higher raw material and production costs, profitability improved, as the favorable effect of higher average selling prices and a favorable change in product mix more than offset the effect of the higher costs. Operating income comparisons were also impacted by a reduction in other operating income in 2007, due primarily to $4.1 million of equity in earnings TIMET recognized in the second quarter of 2006 from our VALTIMET joint venture that was sold in December 2006.
The Company's sales order backlog at the end of June 2007 was $1.0 billion compared to $1.0 billion at the end of March 2007 and $0.9 billion at the end of June 2006.
Steven L. Watson, Vice Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, said, "We continue to see long-term favorable demand trends across all of our primary markets. Our facilities are operating at high capacity levels that improve cost efficiency, contributing to our record levels of operating income. While our near-term focus remains on maximizing our existing productive capacity through initiatives that emphasize efficiency, innovation and technological advances, we are also continuing our efforts to expand our productive capacity across all areas of our manufacturing operations. We are committed to maintaining the certainty, quality and reliability of supply to service the expanding needs of our current and prospective customers.
"Our 4,000 metric ton Vacuum Distillation Process ("VDP") sponge expansion in Henderson, Nevada commenced commercial production in April 2007, and we expect to be operating at full annual capacity of approximately 12,600 metric tons by the end of the third quarter of 2007. As part of our plans to assure our future supply of raw materials, we are continuing our design, engineering and site selection for a new VDP premium-grade sponge facility. We are also continuing to explore and pursue additional third-party long-term sources of sponge and scrap.
"Our electron beam cold hearth ("EB") melt capacity addition in Morgantown, Pennsylvania of approximately 8,500 metric tons, annually, is on schedule for an anticipated completion date of early 2008. We also commenced efforts to add a similar EB furnace at our Morgantown, Pennsylvania facility, scheduled to be completed in the last half of 2009. During 2007 we have also commenced construction of additional vacuum arc remelt ("VAR") capacity additions at our Witton, Morgantown and Savoie locations, all of which are expected to be completed by the end of the second quarter of 2008. Upon completion, these melt capacity additions will increase our EB melt capacity by approximately 107% and will increase our VAR capacity by approximately 34%. As we continue to adjust our long-term business plan in response to industry trends, we will consider more additions to our melt capacity based on our raw material sources and product mix.
Monday, August 06, 2007
Asian Markets Rebound Tuesday Morning
HONG KONG (MarketWatch) -- Asian markets rebounded early Tuesday, inspired by a strong overnight recovery on Wall Street, as bargain buying lifted financial stocks such as Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group and Mizuho Financial Group in Japan, and Macquarie Bank in Australia.
Friday, August 03, 2007
Tuesday, July 31, 2007
Incredible Boeing Titanium Metals Supply Info
Sources say that....Boeing must invest hundreds of millions of dollars more this year than originally planned to keep pace with booming demand for their Dreamliner. R&D spending is projected to reach $3.7 billion this year, up from the previous estimate of between $3.2 billion and $3.4 billion.
Based on current production capabilities, the Dreamliner is virtually sold out until 2013.
What about supply for Airbus? This bodes well for TIE and ATI stocks.
Monday, July 30, 2007
3 Very Large Shareholders Are Banking On The Strong Demand In The World-Wide Refleeting Of Lighter Airplanes With Boeing, Airbus And Rolls Royce
1) Harold Simmons
2) HS's Friend - T Boone Pickens: BP Capital, Boone's first major post-Mesa venture, was virtually minting money. He had opened the energy hedge fund in the spring of 1997 with $10 million of his own money and another $26 million supplied by a group that included his Dallas billionaire buddy Harold Simmons and former Mesa directors Fayez Sarofim and John Cox. Today Boone owns over 552,000 shares of TIE. Within only two years, BP Capital’s funds had dwindled down to $3.4 million, but in 2000, gas finally began the ascent he had long predicted. He commenced what an associate later described as “one of the greatest trading runs of all time.” By the end of 2000, the fund was up to $252 million—a stunning gain of 7,300 percent.
3) Fidelity ownership
Higher fuel costs are increasing the demand to refleet old commercial aircraft to new stronger, lighter and on-corrosive aircraft. What are the materials used? Titanium, Aluminum and composite materials. Stocks to own now are: TIE, ATI, ZOLT
Click: Boeing Orders and Deliveries
Click: Airbus Orders & Deliveries
Click: Rolls Royce Engines News
2) HS's Friend - T Boone Pickens: BP Capital, Boone's first major post-Mesa venture, was virtually minting money. He had opened the energy hedge fund in the spring of 1997 with $10 million of his own money and another $26 million supplied by a group that included his Dallas billionaire buddy Harold Simmons and former Mesa directors Fayez Sarofim and John Cox. Today Boone owns over 552,000 shares of TIE. Within only two years, BP Capital’s funds had dwindled down to $3.4 million, but in 2000, gas finally began the ascent he had long predicted. He commenced what an associate later described as “one of the greatest trading runs of all time.” By the end of 2000, the fund was up to $252 million—a stunning gain of 7,300 percent.
3) Fidelity ownership
Higher fuel costs are increasing the demand to refleet old commercial aircraft to new stronger, lighter and on-corrosive aircraft. What are the materials used? Titanium, Aluminum and composite materials. Stocks to own now are: TIE, ATI, ZOLT
Click: Boeing Orders and Deliveries
Click: Airbus Orders & Deliveries
Click: Rolls Royce Engines News
Spoke To Titanium Metals Today
Their plant expansion in Henderson, Nevada was completed a few months ago and the original plant was opened in 1940. Therefore, increased earnings should include revenues from this operation that may not yet be anticipated. TIMET's current annual sponge manufacturing capacity, including the recent 4,000 metric ton expansion in Henderson, Nevada, is approximately 12,600 metric tons. Plans for the new facility are expected to provide for an initial 10,000 to 20,000 metric tons of capacity to be built in phases.
Very Good Boeing News Today - Great For TIE and ATI
NEW DELHI, Jul 30, 2007 (The Canadian Press via COMTEX) --
India will likely need 911 new passenger jets over the next 20 years to meet the growing demand for air travel, Boeing Co. said Monday, announcing an upward revision to its earlier forecast. India's demand for new planes over the next 20 years could result in orders worth $86 billion at current list prices, making it one of the world's largest markets for new jets, Boeing said in its latest market outlook for India. India's rapid economic expansion in recent years, coupled with policies to break the monopoly of state-run companies in the airline sector has driven demand for air travel and new planes. In 2003, India had a fleet of only 121 planes, which has since increased to 257 with 387 firm orders for new planes by Indian firms. In the past two years, Boeing has won orders for 144 jets worth $21 billion, said Dinesh Keskar, Senior Vice President of sales. The success of private airlines and the surge in air travel has encouraged companies like Boeing to repeatedly revise their forecasts, Keskar said.
India will likely need 911 new passenger jets over the next 20 years to meet the growing demand for air travel, Boeing Co. said Monday, announcing an upward revision to its earlier forecast. India's demand for new planes over the next 20 years could result in orders worth $86 billion at current list prices, making it one of the world's largest markets for new jets, Boeing said in its latest market outlook for India. India's rapid economic expansion in recent years, coupled with policies to break the monopoly of state-run companies in the airline sector has driven demand for air travel and new planes. In 2003, India had a fleet of only 121 planes, which has since increased to 257 with 387 firm orders for new planes by Indian firms. In the past two years, Boeing has won orders for 144 jets worth $21 billion, said Dinesh Keskar, Senior Vice President of sales. The success of private airlines and the surge in air travel has encouraged companies like Boeing to repeatedly revise their forecasts, Keskar said.
Re-Post Of Good Chart Patterns
Indicators like TRIX and MACD are not perfect, but they do help in the timing of momentum moves in good stocks. TRIX oscillates around a zero (0.00) line. When it is used as an oscillator, a positive value indicates an overbought stock while a negative value below the 0.00 line indicates an oversold stock. TRIX is designed for trading trends. Trix uses a triple-smoothed moving average. This indicator will keep you in trends shorter or equal to the window period. Here are some examples. The Bullish signal is "best" indicated when the lines cross up and is below the 0.00 line. Please click on the picture for a better view:
Thursday, July 26, 2007
We Are Adding Haynes Int'l To Our List
Haynes International has an agreement with Titanium Metals and we are very bullish on Titanium at this time. We are hearing that more and more components of the Airbus and Beoing 787 will be made from Titanium. TIE, ATI and HAYN will all benefit from this aerospace Ti boom over the next several years.
ATI - Conference Call
This is a good call that talks about the ongoing Boom in Titanium.
Titanium is used in many many aspects of the new Boeing 787 and Airbus Commercial Planes! Click: To Hear Call
Titanium is used in many many aspects of the new Boeing 787 and Airbus Commercial Planes! Click: To Hear Call
Tuesday, July 24, 2007
Alcoa News - New York Times
Click: Did BHP make an offer on Alcoa? A Source Says Yes.
.........
Some in the mining industry maintain that BHP is the only company with the means to buy Alcoa, probably in the $50 billion price range, given Rio Tinto’s offer for Alcan.
.........
Some in the mining industry maintain that BHP is the only company with the means to buy Alcoa, probably in the $50 billion price range, given Rio Tinto’s offer for Alcan.
Mr. Meyer, however, said it might be possible that two other huge companies — Anglo American, the diverse South African-founded conglomerate now based in London, or Companhia Vale do Rio Doce of Brazil, which bought the Canadian nickel company Inco last year — may also have designs on Alcoa.
On Monday, the Brazilian company announced plans to build an alumina refinery in the northern part of the country with Hydro, a leading Norwegian producer of aluminum. It said in a statement that it had “strategic focus on bauxite and alumina.”
Representatives of Alcoa and BHP both declined to comment, although reports last week from Australia suggested that BHP was not interested in bidding for Alcoa.
But an executive with knowledge of Alcoa’s strategy, who spoke on condition of anonymity, said the company received a buyout offer, most likely from BHP.
The timing remains the unknown.
Phantom Shares - By Bloomberg
A Special Report Detailing Naked Short Selling On Stocks - A Harsh Reality
Click: For The Report "Phantom Shares" Part 1
Click: Part 2
Click: Part 3
Click: For The Report "Phantom Shares" Part 1
Click: Part 2
Click: Part 3
Classic Manipulation Before A Buyout
Ryerson Agrees to $1.06B Buyout At $34.50
See the news? Now go see the last 10 day chart and 2 month chart on RYI and you will see that this stock was "gamed" (alledgedly) going into the last few days before an announcement that was released today . Negotiations started in February. Why? To get a better price I'm sure. What's your take?
See the news? Now go see the last 10 day chart and 2 month chart on RYI and you will see that this stock was "gamed" (alledgedly) going into the last few days before an announcement that was released today . Negotiations started in February. Why? To get a better price I'm sure. What's your take?
Monday, July 23, 2007
Alcoa's CEO Belda Sells Stock
He welcomed bidders to Alcoa at $60 and files to sell a huge blocks of shares? Why? What is he up to now? Click: To See Filing
Carlos Slim's America Movil Keeps Running - AMX
MEXICO CITY (Dow Jones)--Mexican stocks closed higher on Monday, led by gains in U.S. equities and shares of local heavyweight America Movil (AMX). The stock closed up $2.32 today.
Friday, July 20, 2007
A View Of Our Stocks
HERE IS A LOOK AT SOME OF OUR STOCKS:
Apple Chart
Potash Chart
BHP Chart
Hansen Chart
Alcoa Chart
TIE Chart
ATI Chart
Akamai Chart
American Movil
EEM Chart
Apple Chart
Potash Chart
BHP Chart
Hansen Chart
Alcoa Chart
TIE Chart
ATI Chart
Akamai Chart
American Movil
EEM Chart
Wednesday, July 18, 2007
Tuesday, July 17, 2007
Its Time To Roll Profits From AA, AL, BHP and Others Into Titanium Stocks
1) Titanium Metals - TIE
2) Allegheny Technologies - ATI
Earnings reports are due out soon and should beat the street with their explosive aerospace demand.
Click: Titanium News
2) Allegheny Technologies - ATI
Earnings reports are due out soon and should beat the street with their explosive aerospace demand.
Click: Titanium News
TRIX Technical Indicator With Chart Examples
Indicators like TRIX and MACD are not perfect, but they do help in the timing of momentum moves in good stocks. TRIX oscillates around a zero (0.00) line. When it is used as an oscillator, a positive value indicates an overbought stock while a negative value below the 0.00 line indicates an oversold stock. TRIX is designed for trading trends. Trix uses a triple-smoothed moving average. This indicator will keep you in trends shorter or equal to the window period. Here are some examples. The Bullish signal is "best" indicated when the lines cross up and is below the 0.00 line. Please click on the picture for a better view:
Monday, July 16, 2007
Brent Crude Oil Rises Above $78 a Barrel; Reaches 11-Month High
July 16 (Bloomberg) -- Brent crude oil, the benchmark for two-thirds of global supplies, rose above $78 a barrel for the first time since Aug. 9.
Crude oil for August settlement rose as much as 45 cents, or 0.6 percent, to $78.02 a barrel in electronic trading on the London-based ICE Futures exchange. It traded at $78 at 3:38 p.m. Singapore time.
Sunday, July 15, 2007
China's Titanium Plants
Since titanium's initial applications, the number of end-use markets forClick For More Info
titanium has significantly expanded. Established industrial uses for titanium
include chemical plants, power plants, desalination plants and pollution control
equipment. Rapid growth of the Chinese and other Southeast Asian economies has
brought unprecedented demand for titanium-intensive industrial equipment.
In November 2005, Titanium Metals (TIE) entered into a joint venture with XI'AN BAOTIMET
VALINOX TUBES CO. LTD. ("BAOTIMET") to produce welded titanium tubing in the
Peoples Republic of China. BAOTIMET's production facilities will be located in
Xi'an, China, and production is expected to begin in early 2007.
Valtimet's Plants (Valtimet SAS has been sold)
T Boone Pickens - A Large TIE Shareholder
TIE has been consolidating for months. Our guess is that there is a strategy developing to CRUSH the shorts on or before the release of the next earnings report due out in the next week or two.
T Boone owns 552,000 TIE Shares.
T Boone Pickens Interview On CNBC July 13th. - Calling For $80 Oil
If oil goes up so will the demand for Titanium (Ti) especially in aerospace!
July 14 (Bloomberg) -- U.S. stocks climbed for a third straight week, sending the Standard & Poor's 500 Index and Dow Jones Industrial Average to records, after takeover speculation swept through the metals industry and companies announced $49 billion of share buybacks.
Companies have announced about $1.4 trillion of takeovers and $466 billion of stock buybacks this year, according to data compiled by Bloomberg and Birinyi Associates Inc.
T Boone owns 552,000 TIE Shares.
T Boone Pickens Interview On CNBC July 13th. - Calling For $80 Oil
If oil goes up so will the demand for Titanium (Ti) especially in aerospace!
July 14 (Bloomberg) -- U.S. stocks climbed for a third straight week, sending the Standard & Poor's 500 Index and Dow Jones Industrial Average to records, after takeover speculation swept through the metals industry and companies announced $49 billion of share buybacks.
Companies have announced about $1.4 trillion of takeovers and $466 billion of stock buybacks this year, according to data compiled by Bloomberg and Birinyi Associates Inc.
What Is TRIX?
TRIX is a momentum indicator that displays the percent rate-of-change of a triple exponentially smoothed moving average of a security's closing price. It was developed in the early 1980's by Jack Hutson, an editor for Technical Analysis of Stocks and Commodities magazine. Oscillating around a 0.00 "zero" line, TRIX is designed to filter out stock movements that are insignificant to the larger trend of the stock. The user selects a number of periods (such as 15) with which to create the moving average, and those cycles that are shorter than that period are filtered out.
The TRIX is a leading indicator and can be used to anticipate turning points in a trend through its divergence with the security price. Likewise, it is common to plot a moving average with a smaller period (such as 9) and use it as a "signal line" to anticipate where the TRIX is heading. TRIX line crossovers with its "signal line" can be used as buy/sell signals as well.
TRIX calculates a triple exponential moving average of the log of the price input over the period of time specified by the length input for the current bar. The current bar's value is subtracted by the previous bar's value. This prevents cycles that are shorter than the period defined by length input from being considered by the indicator.
Advantages of TRIX
Two main advantages of TRIX over other trend-following indicators are its excellent filtration of market noise and its tendency to be a leading than lagging indicator. It filters out market noise using the triple exponential average calculation, thus eliminating minor short-term cycles that indicate a change in market direction. It has the ability to lead a market because it measures the difference between each bar's "smoothed" version of the price information. When interpreted as a leading indicator, TRIX is best used in conjunction with another market-timing indicator - this minimizes false indications.
Thursday, July 12, 2007
Analyst at Deutsche Bank Says Titanium Is On Fire
'Titanium is on fire at the moment, and this is clearly a very attractive market,' said David Martin, an analyst at Deutsche Bank in New York.
Metal Stocks Are Consolidating
With all the consolidations in metal stocks:
TIE should fetch $45 - $50
ATI could catch a bid for $140 - $150 per share
Roll profits from AA into TIE and ATI now.
TIE should fetch $45 - $50
ATI could catch a bid for $140 - $150 per share
Roll profits from AA into TIE and ATI now.
Wednesday, July 11, 2007
Featured Top Stock Idea: Titanium Metals - TIE
Here's what we know about TIE:
1. TIE has a 20 year agreement with Haynes Int'l who provides them with the ability to service long-term agreements requiring sheet and plate products; capicity of 4,500 metric tons of titanium mill rolling services and hold an option to increase the output capacity to 9,000 metric tons.
2. The Henderson, Nevada plant is nearing final completion
3. Alcan stated in Dec. 2006 that they would be interested in a Titanium company
4. TIE is a supplier to Airbus, Boeing, Rolls-Royce, GE Aircraft Engines, Pratt & Whitney, Wyman-Gordon, Snecma and others
5. Titanium demand is strong until 2010 - 2011 to meet defense spending, as well as Airbus and Boeing commercial airline demands
6. Titanium (Ti) is used for jet engines, blades, rings, landing gear, rings, wing supports, bulkheads, tail sections, and other aerospace components
7. TIE is the primary supplier to Rolls-Royce engines; the agreement starts on Jan 2007 and continues through through 2016
8. Rolls-Royce received over $15 Billion in orders at the recent Paris Air Show
9. Titanium continues to gain momentum in emerging markets and entered into a joint agreement with Chinese company XI'AN BAOTIMET. Production began in Jan 2007.
10. Approximately 146 metric tons of Ti will be purchased for each Airbus A380 manufactured
11. Boeing's 787 will require approximately 136 metric tons of Titanium
12. TIE is a "pure play" in Titanium and regarded as the largest US producer of titanium sponge.
13. In 2006, 57% commercial aerospace; 15% military sector; 17% chemical process, oil and gas, consumer and sporting goods products; 11% melted and mill products
14. Backlog on December 31, 2006 stood at $1.125 Billion compared to $870 Million in 2005
15. Dallas Billionaire, Harold Simmons and related family own approximately 51.9% of common shares
16. Institutions own about 36% of the stock
17. There are 6.1 million shares short or 32% of the float
18. Gross margin in 2006 increased 119% compared to 2005
19. Operating income increased 124% compared to 2005
20. Net sales increased 58% compared to 2005
21. Friend of Harold Simmons, T. Boone Pickens and BP Capital owns about 550,000 shares of TIE
22. Titanium Metals is on the forefront of several rumors and speculation that it may be the target of a takeover by a major conglomerate
23. A respected analyst at Bank of America places at value on the shares at $41
24. Ernst & Young Says Private Equity Firms Should Reconsider Mining Sectors
1. TIE has a 20 year agreement with Haynes Int'l who provides them with the ability to service long-term agreements requiring sheet and plate products; capicity of 4,500 metric tons of titanium mill rolling services and hold an option to increase the output capacity to 9,000 metric tons.
2. The Henderson, Nevada plant is nearing final completion
3. Alcan stated in Dec. 2006 that they would be interested in a Titanium company
4. TIE is a supplier to Airbus, Boeing, Rolls-Royce, GE Aircraft Engines, Pratt & Whitney, Wyman-Gordon, Snecma and others
5. Titanium demand is strong until 2010 - 2011 to meet defense spending, as well as Airbus and Boeing commercial airline demands
6. Titanium (Ti) is used for jet engines, blades, rings, landing gear, rings, wing supports, bulkheads, tail sections, and other aerospace components
7. TIE is the primary supplier to Rolls-Royce engines; the agreement starts on Jan 2007 and continues through through 2016
8. Rolls-Royce received over $15 Billion in orders at the recent Paris Air Show
9. Titanium continues to gain momentum in emerging markets and entered into a joint agreement with Chinese company XI'AN BAOTIMET. Production began in Jan 2007.
10. Approximately 146 metric tons of Ti will be purchased for each Airbus A380 manufactured
11. Boeing's 787 will require approximately 136 metric tons of Titanium
12. TIE is a "pure play" in Titanium and regarded as the largest US producer of titanium sponge.
13. In 2006, 57% commercial aerospace; 15% military sector; 17% chemical process, oil and gas, consumer and sporting goods products; 11% melted and mill products
14. Backlog on December 31, 2006 stood at $1.125 Billion compared to $870 Million in 2005
15. Dallas Billionaire, Harold Simmons and related family own approximately 51.9% of common shares
16. Institutions own about 36% of the stock
17. There are 6.1 million shares short or 32% of the float
18. Gross margin in 2006 increased 119% compared to 2005
19. Operating income increased 124% compared to 2005
20. Net sales increased 58% compared to 2005
21. Friend of Harold Simmons, T. Boone Pickens and BP Capital owns about 550,000 shares of TIE
22. Titanium Metals is on the forefront of several rumors and speculation that it may be the target of a takeover by a major conglomerate
23. A respected analyst at Bank of America places at value on the shares at $41
24. Ernst & Young Says Private Equity Firms Should Reconsider Mining Sectors
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)